Fenton, N. E., D. Lagnado and M.
Neil (2012). "A General Structure for Legal Arguments Using Bayesian
Networks." to appear Cognitive Science. (An extended draft
version of this paper can be found here).
Lagnado, D. A., N. E. Fenton and M. Neil (2012). "Legal idioms: a
framework for evidential reasoning." Argument and Computation, to
Fenton, N.E. and Neil, M., 'On limiting the use of Bayes in presenting forensic evidence', Extended draft available here.
Constantinou, A. , Fenton, N.E., "Solving the problem of inadequate
scoring rules for assessing probabilistic football forecasting
models", Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, Vol. 8 (1),
Article 1, 2012. Preprint draft here.
Fenton, N. E. (2011). "Science and law: Improve statistics in court."
Nature 479: 36-37. Paper on Nature online website is here. An
extended draft on which this was based is here.
Fenton, N.E. and Neil, M., 'Avoiding Legal Fallacies in Practice Using
Bayesian Networks', Australian Journal of Legal Philosophy 36, 114-151,
2011 (extended preprint draft here).
Fenton, N.E. and Neil, M., 'The use of Bayes and causal modelling in
decision making, uncertainty and risk' UPGRADE, the Journal of CEPIS
(Council of European Professional Informatics Societies), 12(5), 10-21,
2011. Published verion here.
Fenton, N. E., M. Neil, and D. Lagnado “Modelling mutually
exclusive causes in Bayesian networks”, April 2011. (draft
Yet, B., Perkins Z.,Marsh, W., Fenton, N.E., "Towards a Method of
Building Causal Bayesian Networks for Prognostic Decision
Support", ProBioMed 11, Bled, Slovenia, July 2011, (draft here).
Neil, M, Chen X, Fenton, N E, "Optimizing the Calculation of
Conditional Probability Tables in Hybrid Bayesian Networks using Binary
Factorization", to appear IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data
Fenton, N. E. (2011). "Rational software developers as pathological
code hackers" in The Dark Side of Software Engineering: Evil on
Computing Projects. (Eds Rost, J. and Glass, R. L.), IEEE Computer
Society Press, ISBN: 978-0-470-59717-0, pp 264-268
Fenton, N. and M. Neil (2010).
"Comparing risks of alternative medical diagnosis using Bayesian
arguments." Journal of Biomedical Informatics 43: 485-495. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbi.2010.02.00
Neil, M., Marquez, D. and Fenton,
N. E. (2010). "Improved Reliability Modeling using Bayesian Networks
and Dynamic Discretization." Reliability Engineering & System
Safety, 95(4), 412-425 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2009.11.012
Hearty, P., Fenton, N., Marquez,
D., and Neil, M., Predicting Project Velocity in XP using a Learning
Dynamic Bayesian Network Model. IEEE Trans Software Eng, 2009. 35(1):
Fenton, N. E.
(2009). Position Statement on the Role and Future of Search Based
Software Engineering. 1st International Symposium on Search Based
Software Engineering. Windsor, UK, IEEE Computer Society: xxii-xxiii.
Fenton, N.E. and Neil, M., Avoiding Legal Fallacies in Practice Using
Bayesian Networks (Seventh International Conference on Forensic Inference and Statistics.
2008: Lausanne, Switzerland).
Fenton, N.E., Neil, M., and Marquez, D., Using Bayesian Networks to
Predict Software Defects and Reliability. Proceedings of the
Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O, Journal of Risk and
Reliability, 2008. 222(O4): p. 701-712
Fenton, N.E., Neil, M., Marsh, W., Hearty, P., Radlinski, L., and
Krause, P., On the effectiveness of early life cycle defect prediction
with Bayesian Nets. Empirical Software Engineering, 2008. 13: p.
Norman Fenton's invited keynote
talk at Mathematical Methods
in Reliability (MMR 07), Glasgow 1-4 July 2007: "Using
Bayesian Networks to Predict Software Defects and Reliability"
(by Fenton NE, Neil M, Marquez D)
Norman Fenton's invited keynote talk at the IEEE ICSE PROMISE
Workshop, Minneapolis, 20 May 2007: "New Directions in Software
Metrics" (will be based on this
earlier keynote at CIO 2006).
Martin Neil's accepted paper at Mathematical Methods in
Reliability (MMR 07), Glasgow 1-4 July 2007: "A
new Bayesian Network approach to Reliability modelling" (by
Neil M, Marquez D, Fenton NE).
Norman Fenton's acepted paper at the IEEE ICSE PROMISE 07
Workshop, Minneapolis, 20 May 2007: "Project Data Incorporating
Qualitative Factors for Improved Software Defect Prediction"
(by Fenton NE, Neil M, Marsh W, Hearty P, Krause P, Radliński Ł.). The
dataset and model associated with this paper can be found here.
Fenton and Neil's seminal work on ranked nodes, to appear in
IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering: "Using
Ranked nodes to model qualitative judgements in Bayesian Networks"
(by Fenton NE, Neil M, Caballero J)
Neil and Tailor's seminal work on dynamic discretisation, to
appear in the Statistics and Computing Journal "Using
Bayesian Networks to Predict Software Defects and Reliability Inference
in Hybrid Bayesian Networks using Dynamic Discretisation",
M, Tailor M and Marquez D). A new extension of this work is to appear
in Reliability Engineering & System Safety: "Modelling
dependable systems using hybrid Bayesian networks" (by Neil M
, Tailor M, Marquez D, Fenton NE, and Hearty P)
Khodakarami's work on BNs for project scheduling, to appear in
the Project Management Journal: “Project
Scheduling: Improved approach to incorporate uncertainty using Bayesian
Networks” (by Khodakarami V, Fenton NE, Neil M)